Our latest reports
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09 July
Europe under water: The macroeconomic cost of flooding and the economic case for adaptation
Flood losses are rising rapidly as economic activity continues to concentrate in high-risk areas.
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08 July
Half-Time Outlook 2026-27: AI holds the score, growth slows to +2.5%
Yellow card only: As the Middle East conflict de-escalates, we expect only a temporary slowdown in global growth in 2026 to +2.5%, followed by a rebound to +2.9% in 2027, broadly in line with our previous baseline outlook.
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02 July
Credit risk relocated, not removed: Newton’s cradle transmitting risk across BBB, HY, and private credit
US credit looks calm on the surface – spreads tight, headline growth cheerful – but the risk has simply migrated.
Our global risk monitoring
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Country reports
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Sector reports
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Collection complexity reports
The Allianz Trade Collection Complexity Score provides a simple assessment of how easy it is to collect debt around the world. The 2026 edition covers 52 economies countries that represent 90% of both global GDP and global trade.